With the regular season still just three weeks old, offensive sample sizes are still too small to draw any meaningful conclusions. For a player like Robinson Cano, we can safely assume that his hot start isn't due to BABIP luck and that he'll continue to rake moving forward, but for guys like Lyle Overbay, Francisco Cervelli, and Vernon Wells those assumptions aren't as concrete. Their tripleslashs right now paint a positive picture, but a more accurate representation of how good they've been can be found in their early contact rates. Regardless of sample size, contact rates tell the real, simple story of just how well a player is swinging the bat at any given time, regardless of whether those swings result in hits and RBI. What do the contact rates for some of the Yankee hitters through the first three weeks of the season tell us about them? Good question.
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